Syria, between civil tyranny and a religious state

Syria, between civil tyranny and a religious state

*This new roundtable with SyriaUntold and Jadaliyya will pose questions about the prospects for secularism in Syria’s future. The full roundtable in Arabic can also be found here.

There have been plenty of questions in recent years regarding the possible social, political and cultural futures of the Syrian state. But here, we will focus the discussion on a subject that is inextricably tied up with these questions: the structure and nature of that future Syrian state. Will it be secular? Religious? Or will it remain in its current form, a hybrid state?

To properly explore these questions, one has to extensively review the early roots of secularization in Syria, its connections to the Levant, and the reasons behind its failed implementation.

Why did Syria’s secularization fail?

The secular nationalist mentality started to emerge in the Levant in the mid-19th century, during the Ottoman occupation. At the time, intellectual and cultural associations were formed on the ground. And the main hub for these activities was Beirut (Syria and Lebanon were still united at the time).

The first Syrian association to revive this secular nationalism was the Syrian Scientific Association (formed in 1857), which was influenced by the values and ideas of the French Revolution as a result of study, interaction and missionary visits. Ibrahim al-Yazji, Mohammed Arslan, Boutros al-Boustani, and Francis al-Morash—these intellectuals, among others, constituted the most important pillars of nationalist and secular thought. They were (later) joined by officers who’d served in the Turkish army, and were influenced by the French Revolution and German nationalist thought, as a result of the compulsory “Turkification” policy after the 1909 revolution and the rise of Turanism. All of this fuelled the nationalist renaissance by joining up with the 1916 Great Syrian Revolution when Levantine countries—including Syria—gained their independence, However, after just two years of independence between 1918 and 1920, Syria became a French mandate. Beginning in the mid-19th century, the French had dealt successive blows against local industry and the accumulation of capital, the negative impact of which manifested itself in the rise of a liberal bourgeoisie. At the same time, there were some manifestations of political modernity: elections, for one, along with rather more humble additions—roads and such.

With the era of independence came the falsely named “liberal” elite, which went on to rule Syria while failing to accomplish any real national or modernist missions (including secularization). This was due to a combination of historical, social, economic and religious factors, the most important of which being a structural incompetence emanating from the fact that the elite were closely affiliated to the global market and, therefore, dependent on it; in addition to the weak commercial structure of the cities and their alliance with clerics (many of whom were themselves traders and property owners); as well as a feudalist system that dominated both the urban and rural economy. This trio would become rooted in Syria’s economic and political make-up for decades.

In turn, this produced industrialists and businessmen who were conservative, by their nature and their relationships. This weak alliance controlled the joints of the state as well as the authorities in Syria—with its multitude of religions, sects, doctrines and nationalities. The resultant state was disorganized in terms of economy, politics, geography and modernity. It was a tangle of contradictions, caught between modern and medieval structures. All these elements became a major reason for the sluggish materialization of a social class or group that adopted the concepts of secularization, modernity, freedom and plurality.

The structural incompetence of Syrian liberalism—the offspring of feudalism—and its failed economic policies paved the way for the countryside to overtake the prominent joints of the modern state. This led to the partial isolation of the city itself from secular ideas and political democratic movements. It also led to the marginalization of the countryside, whose sons found a safe haven in secular parties that promised them equality and equal citizenship. They also found the army to be a motor for social progress. All these factors worked jointly to bring the army to power, in parallel with the Palestine war and the establishment of Israel, which in turn exposed the incompetence of the ruling elite. This elite was then overthrown by Hosni a-Zaim, who adopted a constitution that was closer in nature to secularism—for example, it did not mention the religion of the state or the president. This constitution was subject to amendments during the rule of Adib a-Shishakli after a long battle over the articles concerning the state’s religion and the religion of the president. Those involved agreed to mention the state abstractly, whereas the religion of the president was specified as Islam.

Personal status laws remained subject to Islamic shari’a, and so the hybrid state persisted (as it has until the present day), despite the rise of actively secular parties during that time. However, their action was limited to the political domain and governance, having postponed all enlightenment and modernization projects until they came to power. Perhaps the most prominent of these elites is the Syrian Nationalist Party, which struggled to achieve modernity and secularization, and the Communist Party.

The Ba’ath Party, meanwhile, was not secular as it was a combination of nationalist thoughts, with a secular dimension, connected to Arab Islamic history.

Under Ba’athist rule

When the Ba’ath Party came to power in Syria after the 1963 military coup, it tried to undermine the social and economic positions of urban capitalism through nationalization, and feudalism through agricultural reform laws along with their clerical allies. It maintained the old structures that were able to reproduce traditional concepts along with their social and cultural pillars.

When the Ba’ath Party enacted its (three) provisional constitutions, it did not dare separate religion from the state. It did not invoke a revolution or reform on the legislative level with regards to personal status (religious) laws. It did not fight the battle of modernity and secularization—as Bourguiba did in Tunisia—but rather it entered in a struggle for power, influence and resources in order to weaken any potential opposition.

This was done in stages.

Even when the Ba’athist extremists were in power (between 1966 and 1970), their radical actions were limited to nationalization and other political positions. They did not wage the battle of secularization due to the weakness of their social base and the fragile pillars of modernity and secularization. They also feared that opposing forces might rebel against them and accuse them of blasphemy.

And so, the “state” maintained its hybrid form.

Hafez al-Assad: A strong relationship between state and clergy

When Hafez al-Assad (who himself came from a minority) reached power, he needed to consolidate the foundations of his authoritarian regime within a changing political context—which is why he made changes in the already limited secular environment.

The regime worked on fostering a close relationship between the state and the clerics, especially the Institution for Fatwa and Endowments, and formed a close alliance with them for what they represented. This formula constituted the basis of his rule. Assad maintained a secular touch to sustain political harmony under his rule. That remains in force today.

This contract of alliances produced the constitution of 1973, which redrafted the 1950 constitution in the wake of protests in the city of Hama, and the refusal of clerics there of the version that did not mention the religion of the president of the country. During this stage, the building of mosques flourished and religious discourse thrived with it. This was to satisfy the new allies of the regime and its popular base, and also to confront the radical left.

The essence of the 1973 constitution continued, and so it was the case for the 2012 constitution as well. There were no modernizing amendments with regards to secularization, let alone the personal status affairs and legislation based on Islamic shari’a.

As for the political parties, the regime established an alliance as a formality with five parties that made up the National Front. The parties were secular and civil in nature. Despite this, the Syrian government issued a law that regulated the work of political parties in 2011. The law did not mention secularism in its articles, but referred to the conditions of establishing a party, which included that the party should not be based on a religious, tribal, regional, group or professional basis, or on the basis of discrimination against one’s gender or race.

The mistake of characterizing the Syrian state as secular

The above history makes it clear why it would be a mistake to characterize the Syrian state as one secular in nature. The same can be said of Syrian society, as well, which coexisted innately until religion entered politics.

One should also remember that mosques and churches still have the upper hand. The personal affairs law is still within the context and frame of religious shari’a. Educational institutions have been unable to scrap religious education and replace it with subjects on citizenship. Any neutral observer will also notice that religious elements have recently become more prevalent within both state and society: the number of Quran Memorization Institutes, Islamic groups (such as al-Qobaisiyat) and charities has increased; while the powers of the Endowments Ministry have been extended.

It is as if we are seeing a renewal of the regime’s alliance with the clergy, after the major changes in Syria that began with the 2011 Syrian revolution.

Did the uprising hinder secularization?

The popular explosion that took place in 2011 carried with it great prospects for radical projects that could be democratic and secular in nature. Unfortunately, traditional political Islam became one of the uprising’s most active driving forces, on both a political and popular level, whereas the Marxist and nationalist left had lost its legitimacy and (neo-)liberal forces were weak.

So, no developmental projects were put forward. The struggle was limited to a struggle for power (and the importance of the ballot box).

This coincided with some of the secular elite theorizing in favor of a “civil state” rather than secularization, a step backwards from what had been proposed in past decades. In this context, there followed Borhan Ghaliyoun’s abandonment of the secular state in an interview with the television channel LBC, in which he favored the idea of a civil state after a deal with the Islamists. This retreat was meant to circulate the concept of a civil state in order to pave the way for Islamic rule, as in the Turkish model.

The Arab uprisings failed to achieve what was expected of them—democracy, modernity and social justice—in most countries, including Syria. Instead, they paved the way for civil wars in Libya, Yemen and Syria, which are continuing until now.

This war led Syria to extremism, sectarianism and, perhaps, division. Syria, and other countries in the region, missed a historical opportunity to form a project of modern democratic enlightenment, or to present a serious project of reform—as happened in the 19th and 20th centuries through individuals like Rafaa al-Tahtawi, Mohammed Abdo, Qasem Amin, Taha Hussein, Ali Abdul Razzaq, Abdul Rahman Kawakibi and many others.

The reason (as mentioned earlier) goes back to the nature of the political and social actors that made up the movement, as well as their traditional and religious structures. They were forces without a project or program. All they aspired for was political power, wealth and the introduction of capital with an Islamic tone (as capitalists from political Islam). There is an evident similarity between Islamist parties and authoritarian ruling powers (that are civil only at the surface) in terms of capitalist structure, a central objective of taking power, and their lack of a project. This all in addition to the fact that both are undemocratic.

Recent conflicts led us to retreat further from the project of development. In this context, one cannot forget the role of foreign interventions and their project of “moderate” political Islam—the Muslim Brotherhood—although they backed down from the alliance with Brotherhood after their overthrow in Egypt in 2013.

What prospects are there for a solution?

After years of destructive civil war, and the bloody struggle for power and wealth that took on the form of a multi-faceted sectarian conflict, we should dare to say (in order to be precise) that the conflict had a sectarian form and dimension. It was not the first conflict of its kind—there had been armed conflict between the regime and Islamic fundamentalists in 1979 and 1982. Rather, it was a result of the nature of opposing, warring powers in terms of their demographic, sectarian and intellectual compositions.

The Syrian regime, authoritarian as it is, has sectarian and doctrinal features. These were bolstered by some of the regime’s alliances in the region (such as the one with Iran), which only appeared to back up the position of popular and Islamic opposition groups that related toward the regime on a sectarian basis.

After that came the 2011 uprising, which was met with brutal force by the regime. The conflict was characterized by forces that were working to break up with the regime and fight against it under sectarian slogans pushed to the forefront of the fighting. These slogans mobilized supporters and formed the tools for violent militias on both sides. The regime used all violent tools at its disposal, transforming the conflict from a horizontal one to a vertical conflict (in terms of society and politics) and paving the way to grave sectarian divisions. Both sides of the conflict lacked a program or a vision; their only project was power. The regime defended its existence by any means necessary—bloody or otherwise—and took advantage of claims that it was defending minorities and the ideals of resistance.

Armed opposition forces active on the ground, mostly Islamic in nature, demanded their (supposed) rights to rule Syria, including the Muslim Brotherhood. Other opposition forces, on the other hand—be they leftist, secular or liberal—turned out to be the weaker link.

The uprising could have opened the door for a developmental, modernist project in Syria, but that same door was quickly slammed shut by the nature of the regime’s response. It used all types of violence to confront demonstrators, whereas those subject to that violence increasingly turned to Islamization (in addition to the fact that political Islam was already something found in Syrian society). These internal factors, combined with regional interventions pumping money and weapons into the opposition with the aim of overthrowing the regime and challenging the so-called “Shia Crescent,” turned the Syrian conflict into one pitted between two tyrannical, extremist sides.

Syria lost its opportunity for a national, democratic and secular state because of the absence of popular groups with their own tools to see it through. Traditional Islamic forces were able to control the movement and lead it where they wanted, helped by support from regional and international powers.

After nine long years of blood, destruction and displacement, during which time people’s priorities shifted from the dream of enlightenment to a dream that the status quo persist and the war end, there’s a need for a national reconciliation based on a political solution and power-sharing agreement between the regime and the opposition (who have failed to overthrow the regime).

Of course, questions remain. Which political opposition are we even referring to? What would its role be? What role might traditional and extremist forces play within the structures of the future state? And with it, how will Syria’s identity be rebuilt?

How will secularization materialize?

Another question following on from this might be: how will secularization materialize? Will it be through a top-down or bottom-up approach? Will it be socially introduced to the minorities as a kind of self-defense?

If this is the case, the whole issue will be repeated again: a limited social base acting as a lever and the traditional financial, religious and social forces thwarting the implementation of secularization.

In its current state, Syria is unwell, in need of treatment. That treatment presents two options: the first, the survival of a tyrannical regime with a secular appearance on the surface; and the second, a possible extremist religious state that abolishes what remains of the country’s civil institutions and state structures.

Given the current balance between internal and external powers, secularization is not on their respective agendas. Therefore, the solution will not materialize without a secular democratic state based on equal citizenship. The state will remain hybrid (because of that balance of powers) without power-sharing. The two tracks (secular and hybrid) might break apart and we could find ourselves in the realm of sectarian quotas. This will be the most dangerous road for Syria because it paves the way for future civil wars.

And yet, a new elite could arise from the rubble and convince Syrians of the need for secularization and a state of law.

Until then, we are faced with an urgent mission: to pressure the newly formed Constitutional Committee to draft a secular and democratic constitution that preserves the rights of all citizens in a torn country made up of a mosaic of sects, doctrines, nationalities and religions; a constitution that is based on the principle of equal citizenship.

I am not optimistic because religious powers will try to inhibit this, especially because the United States and other countries are working on a sectarian constitution, as in Lebanon and Iraq. This was set clear by leaking some of the proposals discussed in a meeting of the United States, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and other western countries in 2018, along with proposals from western envoys regarding a “harmonious democracy.”

And will the Syrian people and its elites accept proposals like these?

 

سوريا في أسبوع 18 -25 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر 2019

سوريا في أسبوع 18 -25 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر 2019

كر وفر

24 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

أفاد المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان الأحد بأن قوات الحكومة السورية تمكنت من السيطرة مجدداً على قرية المشيرفة جنوب شرقي إدلب، وذلك بعد معارك عنيفة مع مسلحي المعارضة في المنطقة.

وذكر المرصد أن معاودة السيطرة على القرية جرت بعدما شنت قوات النظام قصفا بعشرات القذائف الصاروخية على عدة محاور قريبة.

وكانت فصائل المعارضة استعادت السيطرة على القرية منتصف الأسبوع الماضي بعد ساعات من سيطرة القوات الحكومية عليها.

وأضاف المرصد أن الطيران الروسي شن أيضاً غارات على مناطق بريف إدلب الجنوبي.

تجدر الإشارة إلى أن مسلحي المعارضة يسيطرون على معظم مناطق محافظة إدلب.

كان الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد قال الشهر الماضي خلال زيارة لإدلب إن “معركة إدلب ستكون الأساس لحسم الفوضى والإرهاب في كل مناطق سورية”.

هجوم على “قلب الإدارة

23  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

خاضت قوات سوريا الديموقراطية السبت معارك عنيفة منعاً لتقدم القوات التركية والفصائل السورية الموالية قرب بلدة عين عيسى الاستراتيجية شمال سوريا، وفق ما أفاد المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان.

ودانت الإدارة الذاتية الكردية في شمال شرق سوريا في بيان “العدوان بمختلف أنواع الأسلحة والمدفعية” على عين عيسى، التي تُعد أبرز البلدات الواقعة تحت سيطرة قوات سوريا الديموقراطية، وعمودها الفقري المقاتلون الأكراد، في شمال الرقة وتضم مقار مهمة لها.

وسيطرت تركيا والفصائل السورية الموالية لها )إثر هجوم أطلقته في التاسع من تشرين الأول/أكتوبر واستمر أسابيع عدة ضد المقاتلين الأكراد في شمال شرق سوريا( على منطقة حدودية واسعة بطول نحو 120 كيلومتراً بين مدينتي تل أبيض (شمال الرقة) ورأس العين (شمال الحسكة).

وعلقت أنقرة هجومها ضد المقاتلين الأكراد في 23 تشرين الأول/أكتوبر، بعد وساطة أميركية ثم اتفاق مع روسيا في سوتشي نصّ على انسحاب المقاتلين الأكراد من المنطقة الحدودية وتسيير دوريات مشتركة فيها.

وبرغم تعليق الهجوم، تخوض القوات التركية والفصائل الموالية لها منذ أسابيع معارك مع قوات سوريا الديموقراطية جنوب المنطقة التي سيطرت عليها وتحديداً في محيط الطريق الدولي “إم 4” الذي يصل محافظة الحسكة (شرق) باللاذقية (غرب) ويمر من عين عيسى.

محاكمة رفعت الأسد

22 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

أوصى قاضي تحقيق إسباني بإحالة رفعت، عم الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد، إلى المحاكمة، للاشتباه بتبييضه «أكثر من 600 مليون يورو»، علماً بأنه من المقرر محاكمته كذلك في باريس في ديسمبر (كانون الأول)، وفق ما أعلنت محكمة في مدريد الجمعة.

وأمام النيابة العامة عشرة أيام لتقرر بشأن هذه التوصية.

ويشتبه قاضي التحقيق بأن نائب الرئيس السوري السابق البالغ من العمر 82 عاماً، يرأس «شبكة إجرامية» مؤلفة من ثمانية من أبنائه، واثنتين من زوجاته الأربع، وشركات وهمية، يخضعون جميعاً لأوامره، وفق ما ورد في قرار المحكمة الجنائية في مدريد.

وبحسب القرار، فإن جميع المذكورين «كرسوا أنفسهم منذ الثمانينات لإخفاء وتحويل وتبييض أموال منهوبة بشكل غير قانوني من الخزانة الوطنية السورية في عدة بلدان أوروبية».

وقال القاضي إن رفعت الأسد نقل معه من سوريا 300 مليون دولار، وبدأ بشراء عقارات في عام 1986 في إسبانيا خصوصاً في لا كوستا ديل سول في الأندلس (جنوب).

وبات يملك 507 عقارات في إسبانيا بقيمة 695 مليون يورو، بحسب تحقيق قضائي.

ورفعت الأسد هو الشقيق الأصغر للرئيس السوري السابق حافظ الأسد الذي حكم سوريا بين عامي 1971 و2000 حين خلفه ابنه بشار الأسد في الرئاسة بعد وفاته.

وترأس رفعت سرايا الدفاع التي قمعت بشكل دموي تمرداً إسلامياً في عام 1982 في حماه في شمال غربي سوريا.

وبعدما نفذ محاولة انقلاب فاشلة ضد شقيقه حافظ، فرّ في عام 1984 إلى فرنسا حيث يتهم بشراء عقارات بقيمة 90 مليون يورو عن طريق الاحتيال.

ويحاكم في باريس في 9 و18 ديسمبر (كانون الأول)، بتهم «غسل الأموال المنظم» عبر التهرب الضريبي واختلاس الأموال العامة السورية.

لا مبادئ دستورية

 22 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قال الوسيط الأممي جير بيدرسون الجمعة إن المفاوضات المبدئية السورية-السورية لوضع دستور جديد لم تتوصل بعد إلى إجماع حول المبادئ الدستورية.

وقال بيدرسون لمجلس الأمن الدولي “من المبكر للغاية قول إنه تم التوصل لاتفاق حول المبادئ الدستورية، كما لم يتم الاتفاق على أي القضايا سيتم التعامل معها في النص الدستوري المستقبلي”.

وأضاف “لكن كان هناك مناقشة مبدئية قوية وبعض القواسم المشتركة يمكن البناء عليها”.

وقال مبعوث الأمم المتحدة إن المحادثات، التي بدأت بنهاية تشرين أول/أكتوبر الماضي في جنيف لم تكن “سهلة”.

وتابع “لقد تباينت القصص والمواقف والمقترحات وفي بعض الأحيان كانت الأعمال والمناقشات مؤلمة والعواطف جياشه”، لكنه أضاف أنه رأي المزيد من

“الجهود في اللغة واللهجة والإيحاءات للإشارة إلى الانفتاح على الحوار”.

وتهدف المفاوضات، التي انطلقت في حضور 150 مندوباً يمثلون الحكومة والمعارضة والمجتمع المدني على قدم المساواة، إلى بناء زخم نحو حل سياسي للحرب الأهلية المستمرة منذ أكثر من ثماني سنوات.

ومن المقرر أن تبدأ جولة جديدة من المحادثات لمدة أسبوع في جنيف في 25 تشرين ثان/ نوفمبر الجاري.

رضيع “داعشي

21 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

وصل يوم الخميس إلى مطار كوبنهاجن رضيع (11 شهراً) ابن مؤيدة لتنظيم داعش (دنماركية- صومالية) لقت حتفها في سورية، وفقاً لمحامي العائلة. وسيعتني الآن بالطفل جداه وعمتاه في الدنمارك.

وقال المحامي تي ترير في تصريح لوكالة الأنباء الألمانية إنه جرى نقل الرضيع في البداية إلى دولة ثالثة أمس الأربعاء حيث استقبله جده وعمته.

وقال ترير: “لقد كان مريضاً للغاية ويعاني من سوء التغذية بشدة. لقد كانت فترة صعبة بالنسبة له، لكنه حصل على رعاية طبية. إنه يكتسب وزناً.”

وكانت والدة الطفل من مؤيدي تنظيم داعش وقُتلت جراء غارة جوية في 17 آذار/ مارس. وكان الرضيع في مخيم للاجئين السوريين منذ ذلك الحين وتعتقد السلطات أن والده الصومالي لقي حتفه أيضا.

وذكرت وكالة الأنباء الدنماركية “ريتزاو” إنه أول يتيم يعاد إلى الدنمارك من مخيم سوري.

زيادة رواتب ؟

21 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

 أصدر الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد الخميس مرسوماً يقضي بزيادة رواتب العاملين في الحكومة السورية والمتقاعدين وسط انهيار سعر صرف الليرة السورية.

ونقلت صفحات على مواقع التواصل الاجتماعي تابعة للرئاسة السورية إن “المرسوم يقضي بزيادة 20 ألف ليرة سورية ( حوالي  28  دولاراً) على  الرواتب والأجور الشهرية للعسكرين والمدنيين.

كما يقضي المرسوم أيضاً بزيادة 16 ألف ليرة سورية (حوالي 22  دولاراً) على رواتب المتقاعدين .

وبينت الصفحات الرئاسية أن زيادة الرواتب جاءت  بعد سلسلة اجتماعات بدأت منذ منتصف العام الحالي بين الفرق واللجان الحكومية المختصة، ومناقشة جميع البيانات والمعطيات، وبعد أن تم تصديق نتائجها من اللجنة الاقتصادية وعرضها على مجلس الوزراء في جلسته الأخيرة المنعقدة يوم الأحد الماضي.

ويتراوح متوسط الرواتب الشهرية في سورية بحدود 40 ألف ليرة  ( 55  دولاراً) وكان متوسط الراتب الشهري للموظفين في سورية مع بداية الأحداث منتصف شهر آذار عام 2011 حوالي 20 ألف ليرة ( 400 دولار ).

وتشهد سورية ومنذ مطلع الشهر الجاري ارتفاعاً ملحوظاً في أسعار صرف الدولار حيث تجاوز سعر صرف الدولار الواحد 725 ليرة سورية، ما تسبب بارتفاع كبير في جميع أسعار المواد الغذائية والاستهلاكية .

موت إضافي للنازحين

20  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قُتل 14 مدنياً على الأقلّ بينهم ثمانية أطفال وأصيب نحو أربعين آخرين الأربعاء جراء قصف شنّه النظام السوري وضربات روسية على مناطق في محافظة إدلب في شمال غرب سوريا، وفق ما أفاد المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان.

من جهة أخرى، أحصى المرصد مقتل “ستة مدنيين بينهم أربعة أطفال، في قصف طائرات حربية روسية استهدف مدينة معرة النعمان” في جنوب إدلب. وتوقّع مدير المرصد رامي عبد الرحمن ارتفاع حصيلة القتلى نظراً لوجود جرحى “في حالات خطرة”.

قصف إسرائيلي

20  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

أكد الجيش الاسرائيلي أنه شن ضربات جوية “على نطاق واسع” على مواقع عسكرية في دمشق الأربعاء “رداً” على إطلاق صواريخ من سوريا باتجاه اسرائيل قبل يوم، ما أسفر عن مقتل 23 “مقاتلاً” بينهم 16 “غير سوريين”، حسب المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان.

وكان الجيش الإسرائيلي أعلن الثلاثاء أن دفاعاته الجوية اعترضت أربعة صواريخ أطلقت من سوريا المجاورة، بينما أفاد المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان أن الجانب الإسرائيلي رد بشن غارات على أهداف قرب دمشق.

فيتو روسي

19  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

 قالت روسيا إن تعهد تركيا بالقيام بعملية جديدة في شمال سوريا إذا لم يجر تطهير المنطقة ممن تصفهم أنقرة بالإرهابيين  أثار دهشتها وحذرت من أن مثل هذه الخطوة ستضر بجهود تحقيق الاستقرار في المنطقة.

ونقلت وكالة الأناضول الرسمية للأنباء عن وزير الخارجية التركي مولود جاويش أوغلو قوله أمس الاثنين إن بلاده قد تنفذ عملية عسكرية جديدة في شمال سوريا إذا لم يجر تطهير المنطقة من وحدات حماية الشعب الكردية السورية.

ونقلت عنه قوله أيضاً إن الولايات المتحدة وروسيا لم تنفذا ما نصت عليه الاتفاقات التي أوقفت هجوما تركيا الشهر الماضي وحثهما على الوفاء بتعهداتهما.

وتشير تصريحات وزير خارجية تركيا ورد الفعل الروسي غير الودي عليها إلى توترات ناشئة بشأن سوريا بين موسكو وأنقرة بعد أقل من شهر من إبرام الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين والرئيس التركي رجب طيب أردوغان اتفاقا قضى بنشر قوات سورية وروسية في شمال شرق سوريا لإبعاد وحدات حماية الشعب الكردية من منطقة الحدود مع تركيا.

بلدة آشورية

19  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

في بلدة تل تمر في شمال شرق سوريا، تتضرّع سعاد سيمون يومياً إلى الله كي يحمي زوجها الذي يرابض مع مقاتلين آخرين دفاعاً عن المنطقة ذات الغالبية الآشورية المسيحية، بعدما باتت القوات التركية على تخومها.

وتخشى العائلات الآشورية القليلة المتبقية على مصيرها مع تقدّم القوات التركية نحو قراها الواقعة في ريف الحسكة الغربي، رغم إعلان أنقرة الشهر الماضي، بعد اتفاقين مع واشنطن وموسكو، تعليق هجوم واسع بدأته ضد المقاتلين الأكراد الموجودين في المنطقة.

وبلغ عدد الآشوريين الإجمالي في سوريا قبل بدء النزاع في آذار/مارس 2011 حوالى ثلاثين ألفاً من أصل 1,2 مليون مسيحي، وهم يتحدرون بمعظمهم من الحسكة. ويشكل المسيحيون نحو خمسة في المئة من إجمالي عدد السكان في سوريا، لكن عدداً كبيراً منهم غادر البلاد بعد اندلاع النزاع.

وكان عدد سكان المنطقة الآشوريين قبل هجوم التنظيم يُقدّر بنحو عشرين ألف نسمة، وفق وردة، إلا أن الغالبية الساحقة منهم هاجرت بعد النزاع إلى دول عدة أبرزها الولايات المتحدة وأستراليا وكندا. ولم يبق منهم إلا نحو ألف فقط في المنطقة.

وينخرط العشرات منهم في مجموعة حرس الخابور وينضوون مع مقاتلين سريان في مجموعات تابعة لقوات سوريا الديموقراطية.

Syria in a Week (11- 18 November 2019)

Syria in a Week (11- 18 November 2019)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

 

Astana Postponed

18 November 2019

The next Astana meeting on Syria is expected to be held in Nur-Sultan early December, the Foreign Minister of Kazakhstan Mukhtar Tleuberdi said on Monday.

The foreign ministry is waiting for an official request from the sponsor countries (Russia, Turkey, and Iran), the minister said.

The meeting was supposed to be held in late October but was postponed until mid-November because of the constitutional committee’s meetings in Geneva.

Confrontations After an Explosion

17 November 2019

A civilian was killed and another injured in clashes on Sunday between angry demonstrators and Turkish-supported local police in al-Bab city in northern Syria after a suspect was arrested for a car bomb that left a number of people dead, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR).

The car bomb exploded on Saturday in al-Bab, which is under the control of Syrian factions allied with Turkey, near a gathering point for taxis and public buses, killing nineteen people including thirteen civilians, according to the SOHR.

“On Saturday night, the local police in the city arrested a suspect accused of carrying out the bombing after reviewing surveillance cameras in the area. He was taken to police headquarters in order to be handed to the Turkish army,” SOHR director Rami Abdul Rahman told the AFP.

This angered hundreds of the city’s residents who took to the streets near the police station. A number of them stormed the station, demanding the suspect be executed in the city, according to the SOHR.

While trying to disperse them, the police intensively shot rounds in the air which killed one civilian and injured another, the SOHR said.

No one has claimed responsibility for the explosion in the city, which was considered a stronghold for the Islamic State in Aleppo governorate before it was ousted by Turkish forces and allied Syrian faction in February of 2017 in a large scale offensive in the area.

The Turkish defense ministry on Saturday accused the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) and the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) of being responsible for the explosion. It declared the arrest of the perpetrator in a tweet on Sunday.

Bombardment of Idlib

17 November 2019

At least nine civilians were killed on Sunday in airstrikes by Russian planes on areas in Idlib governorate in northwest Syria, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR).

The SOHR said the toll was likely to rise because some of the injured suffered from “severe cases”.

Late April, Syrian government forces – with Russian support – launched a military operation in which they controlled various areas in the southern countryside of Idlib and the nearby northern countryside of Hama. A Russian-Turkish ceasefire was reached in late August.

Despite the ceasefire, the area is subject to Syrian and Russian airstrikes every now and then, which have intensified recently, killing one hundred and ten civilians since late August.

The four-month attack has led to the displacement of four hundred thousand people and damaged dozens of health and education facilities. It also led to the death of around one thousand civilians, according to the SOHR.

Russian Deployment at US Base

16 November 2019

The Russian television channel Krasnaya Zvezda on Friday broadcasted footage documenting the first moments of Russian military police deploying at and controlling a US military base recently abandoned by Washington in Raqqa, north of Syria.

The US army had hastily evacuated the military base, driving the Russian air force to quickly dispatch its helicopters to prevent the Americans from destroying the runway as they did with similar bases in the past. Facilities at the military base were put under the guard of Russian military police.

Ninety Per Cent is for the Government

14 November 2019

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that after Russia started its fight against terrorism in Syria, ninety per cent of this country’s territory has been liberated from the terrorists, and that in general all tasks were carried out.

This territory went back to Syrian government control “which was our objective. We have succeeded in carrying that out,” Putin said in a press conference after the BRICS summit in the Brazilian capital.

The Russian president emphasized the US contribution, and especially that of President Donald Trump, in fighting terrorism in Syria.

Washington is Leading

14 November 2019

In front of allies concerned by the US withdrawal from Syria, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Thursday that the United States would continue to “lead” the fight against ISIS.

At the opening meeting of foreign ministers for member countries of the coalition against ISIS, Pompeo said that coalition countries have to “repatriate thousands of foreign fighters currently detained” in Syria. This demand, however, was met with the refusal of many countries, such as France, to receive jihadist fighters of their own citizens.

France called for this emergency meeting of the international coalition after a crisis erupted due to a new Turkish military intervention in northeast Syria.

Third Russian Base

14 November 2019

The Zvezda TV channel, which is affiliated with the Russian defense ministry, said on Thursday that Moscow started to establish a helicopter base in a civilian airport in the city of Qamishli in northeastern Syria, and showed footage of the arrival of offensive helicopters.

The new base is protected by the Panstir surface-to-air missile system. Three helicopters have already been deployed, two offensive Mi-35 helicopters and a Mi-8 military transport helicopter.

The TV channel showed Russian military police guarding the base, in addition to armored vehicles, ground support teams, a meteorology station, and a small medical clinic.

Trump and Erdogan

13 November 2019

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan met with US President Donald Trump at the White House on Wednesday at a time of intense relations between the two NATO countries.

The relations between the two countries were strained after Turkey launched an operation in northeast Syria against the Kurds – Washington’s allies – and bought advanced Russian air defense systems, in addition to Turkey insisting on its demand for the US to hand over the US-based cleric Fethullah Gulen, who Turkey accuses of responsibility for the failed coup attempt in 2016.

During the reception at the White House, Trump said that his relationship with the Turkish president is “good” and claimed that the ceasefire in northern Syria between Ankara and Kurdish-led forces is still holding.

Trump added that the Russian S-400 missile system, which Turkey bought, and the US F-35 fighter jets programs, which was suspended with Ankara, would be discussed.

Striking Jihad in Damascus

12 November 2019

Two people, including the son of Palestinian Islamic Jihad leader Akram al-Ajouri, were killed early Tuesday in an Israeli strike in Damascus, according to Syrian official media and the Palestinian faction, which also declared that Israel “assassinated” one of its leaders in the Gaza strip.

An AFP photographer in Damascus said that he saw a building of three floors partially destroyed and windows in adjacent buildings broken. The apartment is located in one of the prestigious Damascene neighborhoods and is only a few dozens of meters away from the Lebanese embassy.

The Israeli army said in the morning that a “big” number of missiles were fired from Gaza into Israel. The missiles landed in southern Israel and sirens sounded in Tel Aviv.

Israel intensified in recent years its bombardment in Syria. It mainly targets positions for the Syrian army and Iranian and Hezbollah targets. It reiterates that it will continue to confront what it describes as Iran’s attempts to cement its military presence in Syria and send advanced weapons to Hezbollah.

Syria in a Week (11- 18 November 2019)

سوريا في أسبوع 11-18 تشرين الثاني/ نوفمبر 2019

تأجيل آستانة

 18 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

 أعلن وزير الخارجية الكازاخستاني، مختار تليوبردي، الاثنين، أنه من المتوقع أن يُعقد “اجتماع أستانا” القادم حول سورية في نور سلطان أوائل كانون أول/ديسمبر.

وأضاف أن وزارة الخارجية تنتظر طلباً رسمياً من الدول الضامنة (روسيا وتركيا وإيران).

يذكر أن الاجتماع كان مقرراً عقده في نهاية شهر تشرين أول/أكتوبر، لكن تم تأجيله حتى منتصف تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر على خلفية اجتماعات اللجنة الدستورية  في جنيف.

مواجهات غداة تفجير

17  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قتل مدني وأصيب آخر الأحد في مواجهات اندلعت بين متظاهرين غاضبين في مدينة الباب في شمال سوريا وعناصر شرطة محلية تدعمها أنقرة، غداة توقيف متهم بتفجير سيارة مفخخة أوقعت قتلى، وفق المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان.

وانفجرت السبت سيارة مفخخة في مدينة الباب التي تسيطر عليها فصائل سورية موالية لأنقرة، كانت مركونة عند نقطة تجمع لسيارت الأجرة وحافلات نقل الركاب، ما تسبب بمقتل 19 شخصاً بينهم 13 مدنياً، بحسب المرصد.

وأفاد مدير المرصد رامي عبد الرحمن لوكالة فرانس برس أن “الشرطة المحلية في المدينة أوقفت ليل السبت الأحد متهماً بتنفيذ التفجير بعد مراجعة كاميرات مراقبة موجودة في المكان واقتادته إلى مقرها الرئيسي، تمهيداً لتسليمه إلى الجيش التركي”.

وأثار ذلك غضب مئات من سكان المدينة الذين تظاهروا قرب مقر الشرطة، واقتحمه عدد منهم، مطالبين وفق المرصد بإعدام المتهم في المدينة.

وفي محاولة لتفريقهم، أطلق عناصر الشرطة النار بشكل كثيف في الهواء، ما أدى الى مقتل مدني وإصابة آخر بجروح، وفق المرصد.

ولم تتبن أي جهة تنفيذ التفجير في المدينة التي كانت تعد معقل تنظيم الدولة الإسلامية في محافظة حلب، قبل أن تطرده منها القوات التركية وفصائل سورية موالية لها في شباط/فبراير 2017 إثر هجوم واسع شنته في المنطقة.

واتهمت وزارة الدفاع التركية السبت حزب العمال الكردستاني ووحدات حماية الشعب الكردية بالوقوف خلف التفجير. وأعلنت في تغريدة الأحد توقيف مرتكب الهجوم.

قصف إدلب

17  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قتل تسعة مدنيين على الأقل الأحد جراء ضربات شنتها طائرات روسية على مناطق في محافظة إدلب في شمال غرب سوريا، وفق ما أفاد المرصد السوري لحقوق الإنسان.

وأحصى المرصد مقتل “خمسة مدنيين بينهم ثلاث مواطنات، جراء غارات روسية استهدفت قرية الملاجة في ريف إدلب الجنوبي”، بينما قتل “أربعة آخرون جراء غارات روسية على مخيم عشوائي للنازحين شمال مدينة سراقب”.

ورجح المرصد ارتفاع حصيلة القتلى نظراً لوجود جرحى “في حالات خطرة”.

وفي نهاية نيسان/أبريل، بدأت قوات النظام السوري بدعم روسي عملية عسكرية سيطرت بموجبها على مناطق عدة في ريف إدلب الجنوبي وريف حماة الشمالي المجاور، قبل أن يتم التوصل إلى وقف لإطلاق النار برعاية روسية – تركية في نهاية آب/أغسطس.

ورغم وقف إطلاق النار، تتعرض المنطقة بين الحين والآخر لغارات سورية وأخرى روسية، تكثفت وتيرتها مؤخراً، وتسببت بمقتل 110 مدنيين منذ نهاية آب/أغسطس.

ودفع الهجوم الذي استمر أربعة أشهر 400 ألف شخص إلى النزوح، كما ألحق الضرر بعشرات المنشآت الصحية والتعليمية. وأودى بحياة نحو ألف مدني، وفق المرصد.

وأكد الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد في 22 تشرين الأول/أكتوبر أن معركة إدلب هي “الأساس” لحسم الحرب المستمرة في بلاده منذ أكثر من ثماني سنوات، مشيراً إلى أن قواته مستعدة لبدء هجومها “في الوقت المناسب”.

إنزال روسي بحضن اميركي

 16 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

بثت قناة تلفزيون “كراسنايا زفزدا” الروسية الجمعة لقطات توثق اللحظات الأولى لإنزال قوة من الشرطة العسكرية الروسية، وسيطرتها على قاعدة عسكرية أمريكية تخلت عنها واشنطن  مؤخراً في الرقة، شمالي سورية.

ويوثق مقطع الفيديو لحظة إنزال أفراد من الشرطة العسكرية الروسية من مروحيات هجومية طراز “ميج – 35″، وتقدمهم داخل القاعدة الجوية الأمريكية

السابقة، حيث تظهر في المشاهد مستلزمات عسكرية شخصية تركها العسكريون  الأمريكيون خلفهم، إضافة إلى منشآت البنية التحتية للقاعدة، بما في ذلك مبنى مبيت العسكريين وصالة للتمارين الرياضية.

كان الجيش الأمريكي أخلى في عجالة هذه القاعدة العسكرية، مما جعل سلاح الجو الروسي يدفع بسرعة بمروحياته إليها كي لا يسمح للأمريكيين بتدمير

مدرج الهبوط والإقلاع كما فعلوا مع قواعد مماثلة في أوقات سابقة، وتم  وضع مرافق الموقع العسكري تحت حراسة وحدات الشرطة العسكرية الروسية.

 90 في المئة للحكومة

14 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

أعلن الرئيس الروسي، فلاديمير بوتين، أنه بعد بدء روسيا مكافحة الإرهاب في سورية، تم تحرير 90 بالمئة من أراضي هذا البلد من الإرهابيين، وفي المجمل قامت بتنفيذ جميع مهامها.

وقال بوتين في مؤتمر صحفي بعد قمة بريكس في العاصمة البرازيلية إن هذه الأراضي عادت لسيطرة الحكومة السورية، “هذا ما كنا نهدف إليه، لقد نجحنا

في تنفيذ ذلك”.

كما أكد الرئيس الروسي، على مساهمة الولايات المتحدة، وعلى وجه الخصوص، مساهمة الرئيس دونالد  ترامب، بمكافحة الإرهاب في سورية.

وأعرب بوتين عن أمل في نجاح اللجنة الدستورية السورية بتهدئة الوضع وتحسين علاقات دمشق والمعارضة.

كانت روسيا قد بدأت نشر قوات جوية لها في سورية في قاعدة حميميم شرق البلاد في شهر ايلول/سبتمبر عام 2015.

واشنطن قائدة

14  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

أكد وزير الخارجية الأميركي مايك بومبيو الخميس بواشنطن أمام حلفاء هالهم انسحابها من سوريا، أن الولايات المتحدة ستواصل “قيادة” مكافحة تنظيم “داعش”.

وقال بومبيو في افتتاح اجتماع وزراء خارجية الدول الأعضاء في التحالف ضد التنظيم ، أنه على دول التحالف “استعادة آلاف المقاتلين الإرهابيين الأجانب المعتقلين حالياً” في سوريا. لكن هذا الطلب يصطدم برفض عديد الدول مثل فرنسا، استقبال المقاتلين الجهاديين من مواطنيها.

وكانت فرنسا هي التي طلبت عقد هذا الاجتماع الطارىء للتحالف الدولي بعد أزمة نجمت عن توغل عسكري تركي جديد في شمال شرق سوريا. وباعلانه سحب القوات الأميركية من سوريا ترك الرئيس الاميركي دونالد ترامب المجال مفتوحاً لهذه العملية العسكرية التركية التي تستهدف قوات كردية حليفة للغربيين في الحرب على المسلحين الجهاديين.

وأعلن ترامب منذ ذلك التاريخ تغييراً في مواقفه مرارا لينتهي به الأمر في نهاية المطاف بالإبقاء على قوة ل “حماية” حقول النفط السورية. لكن باقي أعضاء إدارته يحاولون تأكيد أن المهمة الأولى لهذه القوة المكونة من نحو 600 عنصر تبقى مكافحة الجهاديين.

وقال بومبيو في افتتاح الاجتماع “تعرفون جميعكم أنه علينا مواصلة المعركة ضد تنظيم”داعش” والولايات المتحدة ستواصل قيادة التحالف والعالم في هذا الجهد الأساسي لأمننا”.

وأضاف “لقد نشرنا بعضا من قواتنا في شمال شرق سوريا وفي المنطقة بشكل أوسع، وذلك للعمل على ألا يعاود تنظيم الدولة الإسلامية الظهور من جديد ومنعه من استعادة السيطرة على حقول النفط”.

ثالث قاعدة روسية

14  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قالت قناة زفيزدا التلفزيونية التابعة لوزارة الدفاع الروسية الخميس إن موسكو بدأت في إنشاء قاعدة هليكوبتر في مطار مدني بمدينة القامشلي في شمال شرق سوريا وعرضت مقطعاً يظهر وصول طائرات هليكوبتر هجومية.

وتخضع القاعدة الجديدة لحماية من أنظمة بانتسير للصواريخ سطح/جو وتم نشر ثلاث طائرات هليكوبتر، بينها طائرتان هجوميتان من طراز ميج-35 وطائرة هليكوبتر للنقل العسكري من طراز ميج-8، هناك بالفعل.

وعرضت القناة لقطات للشرطة العسكرية الروسية التي تحرس القاعدة إضافة إلى مركبات مدرعة وأطقم دعم أرضي ومحطة أرصاد وعيادة طبية صغيرة.

وقال بافل رمنيف مراسل القناة “هذه أول مجموعة من طائرات الهليكوبتر العسكرية الروسية هنا في شمال سوريا… إنها لحظة تاريخية. من الآن فصاعداً ستعمل مجموعة الطيران الخاصة بنا على نحو دائم في مطار مدينة القامشلي”.

يأتي الانتشار الروسي بعد أقل من شهر من انسحاب القوات الأمريكية من المنطقة عقب قرار مفاجئ من الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترامب بسحب القوات من بعض الأنحاء في سوريا.

وسبق أن استخدمت روسيا طائرات هليكوبتر عسكرية في دوريات بمنطقة قريبة من الحدود السورية مع تركيا لحماية الشرطة العسكرية الروسية العاملة على الأرض هناك.

ترامب وأردوغان

13 تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

التقى الرئيس التركي رجب طيب أردوغان في البيت الأبيض الأربعاء مع الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترامب في وقت يشهد توتراً بين البلدين الحليفين بحلف شمال الأطلسي (ناتو).

وتوترت العلاقات بين البلدين بسبب إطلاق تركيا عملية في شمال شرق سورية ضد الأكراد حلفاء واشنطن وشراء تركيا لأنظمة دفاع جوي روسية متقدمة، إلى جانب إصرار تركيا على مطلبها المتعلق بضرورة قيام الولايات المتحدة بتسليمها رجل الدين فتح الله غولن المقيم في الولايات المتحدة، والذي تتهمهتركيا بالمسؤولية عن المحاولة الانقلابية الفاشلة التي شهدتها البلاد عام 2016 .

وصرح ترامب لدى استقباله اردوغان في البيت الأبيض بأن علاقته بالرئيس التركي “جيدة” وزعم أن وقف إطلاق النار في شمال سورية صامد بين أنقرة

والقوات التي يقودها الأكراد.

وقال ترامب إنه سيتم مناقشة النظام الصاروخي الروسي إس- 400 الذي اشترته  تركيا وبرنامج المقاتلات الأمريكية إف- 35، الذي تم تعليقه مع أنقرة.

وأوضح ترامب عن أردوغان قبل أن يدخل كلاهما في اجتماع مغلق:”أنا والرئيس  صديقان حميمان. ويفهم كل منا بلاد الآخر”.

وأضاف ترامب أن القوات الأمريكية في سورية أمّنت موارد النفط. وقال إن  كلا من القوات الكردية المتحالفة مع الولايات المتحدة وتركيا تحتجز مقاتلين من تنظيم داعش.

ولفت المسؤول إلى أن الولايات المتحدة تريد منع وقوع أعمال وحشية في سورية ضد الأقليات الدينية والعرقية مثل المسيحيين والإيزيديين والأكراد.

ويأتي اللقاء بعد شهر من إطلاق تركيا عملية في شمال شرق سورية بموافقة ترامب، وهي العملية التي أثارت ردود فعل عنيفة في الكونجرس الأمريكي

ودعوات لفرض عقوبات صارمة.

وأوضح البيت الأبيض أن هدف الولايات المتحدة هو منع عودة تنظيم داعش وأضاف أن واشنطن  “ليس لديها نية”  لإنهاء تعاونها مع “قوات سورية

الديمقراطية”، التي تتكون بصورة أساسية من مسلحين أكراد، وتعتبرها تركيا  منظمة إرهابية.

قصف “الجهاد في دمشق

12  تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر

قتل شخصان، بينهما ابن القيادي في حركة الجهاد الإسلامي الفلسطينية أكرم العجوري، فجر الثلاثاء في قصف إسرائيلي في دمشق، وفق ما أفاد الإعلام الرسمي السوري والفصيل الفلسطيني الذي أعلن أيضاً “اغتيال” إسرائيل لأحد قادته في قطاع غزة.

وأفادت وكالة الأنباء السورية الرسمية (سانا) أن “العدوان الإسرائيلي قام فجر اليوم بإطلاق ثلاثة صواريخ” أصاب اثنان منها منزل العجوري في منطقة المزة، ما أسفر عن “استشهاد ابنه معاذ إضافة لشخص آخر”، وإصابة عشرة أشخاص آخرين بجروح

وفي دمشق، نقل مصور لفرانس برس مشاهدته لمبنى من ثلاثة طوابق مدمر جزئياً، وتحطم واجهات النوافذ في مبان مجاورة. ويقع المنزل في أحد أحياء دمشق الراقية على بعد عشرات الأمتار من مقر السفارة اللبنانية.

وأعلنت حركة الجهاد الإسلامي بدورها استهداف منزل عضو مكتبها السياسي أكرم العجوري في دمشق، ما “أدى لمقتل أحد أبنائه”. كما أضافت “أقدم العدو المجرم على اغتيال القائد الكبير المجاهد بهاء أبو العطا +أبو سليم+ باستهداف منزله فجراً” في قطاع غزة ما أدى إلى مقتله وزوجته.

وأعلنت الحركة “استنفارها”، وقالت إنها “بدأت بالتصدي لهذا العدوان”.

وقال الجيش الإسرائيلي صباحاً أن عددا “كبيرا” من الصواريخ أطلق من غزة باتجاه إسرائيل. وسقطت صواريخ في جنوب إسرائيل ودوت صفارات الإنذار في تل أبيب.

وكثّفت اسرائيل في الأعوام الأخيرة وتيرة قصفها في سوريا، وتستهدف بشكل أساسي مواقع للجيش السوري وأهدافاً إيرانية وأخرى لحزب الله. وتُكرّر التأكيد أنها ستواصل تصدّيها لما تصفه بمحاولات إيران الرامية إلى ترسيخ وجودها العسكري في سوريا وإرسال أسلحة متطورة إلى حزب الله.

Secularity, a Potential Prospect

Secularity, a Potential Prospect

*This new roundtable with SyriaUntold and Jadaliyya will pose questions about the prospects for secularism in Syria’s future. The full roundtable in Arabic can also be found here.

The preoccupation with secularity has never ceased even in countries such as France that have embraced radical secularity or what is sometimes referred to as solid secularity. Discussions regarding secularity, which is constantly confronted with challenges to its ability to absorb new developments and maintain a balance between equality rights and identity issues, have not settled down either. However, as the sons and daughter of impoverished countries that have not found their own mechanism to convene and produce political legitimacy apart from the logic of victory through violence, our preoccupation with secularity relates to several issues. These are the form of secularity we seek, the manner and extent of separation between religion and politics, and the exploration of secularity’s ability/inability to help extract the Muslim community, by which I mean the community where Islam constitutes the religion of most of the inhabitants, from the abyss of futile conflicts that consume its energy and resources and threaten its existence.

The broad trend we have witnessed in recent years in Syria and other Arab countries is a turn toward religious extremism and seeking to retrogress society to religious rule (caliphate, emirates, and shari‘a courts…) while accusing democracy and secularity of blasphemy. This is one of the consequences of our societies’ faltering development. Failure is a breeding ground for all sorts of extremism and irrationality, especially in dysfunctional nations, which, however, regard themselves as distinct, chosen, and carriers of a “message,” as in the case of the “Arab nation.” The Islamic extremism we have witnessed in recent years and the reversion toward a bygone past, whether in judgements or symbols and designation, are a childish protest against the dominant part of the world. However, it is also a protest or a reversion against the self. By that we mean that the failure of this religious extremism or this global or local religious jihadism is inevitable in our modern era. The determination and sacrifices made for these ideologies are merely an expression of a deep awareness of their futility and impossibility. There is no place, in the modern era, for the rule of religion that jihadist theorists call for. This conviction is not far from the minds of Islamic extremists themselves (e.g., the Taliban in Afghanistan, and perhaps Nusra Front in Syria). They merely seek to elicit recognition, as they have no other way to integrate into the world from a partner or affiliate standpoint. We could also say that this violent jihadism is an unconscious way to get revenge from one’s own “failed” self.

There may be people who have achieved a vast separation from reality to the point of full conviction in establishing a religious rule in the current era. However, the real question today is not related to the position toward the religious state; the real question is not a trade-off between a religious state and a secular state, but rather which secular state we want, and how do we realize secularity. Is it the separation of religion from the state or the separation of the religious institution from the state? What remains of religion in a secular state? One must also take into consideration many Syrians’ dislike of the word “secularity” due to its association with the Assad regime on the one hand, and because of Islamic propaganda that has flourished recently within the current conflict in Syria, on the other. Many secular Syrians now prefer to avoid this term while retaining its tenor. There are those who are proposing to replace it with another word with similar connotations such as “patriotism.” However, aside from the word, the majority of Syrians, in our view, are “secular” in substance, i.e., they do not lean toward the Sunni Islamic religious rule as called for by the clergy. This is evident in the vast rejection of the Islamic State (ISIS) and Nusra Front in the areas they controlled. The emergence and dominance of these Salafi and jihadist organizations and the exposure of their limitations and purely violent nature may be one of the few positive outcomes of the Syrian tragedy.

Between Secularity and Secularism

To start, a distinction should be made between “secularity” and “secularism.” The former concept belongs to the political sphere and presents a vision for a path that seems to its supporters, including ourselves, a just and useful manner to organize and manage public affairs because it liberates the management of society from the sacred sphere, as it removes sanctification and the absolute from the world of politics. The latter concept belongs to the ideological sphere as it turns “secularity” into some sort of worldly religion. Its supporters transfer “sanctification” from the unseen world to the witnessed world, resulting in the phenomenon of “worldly sanctification” which turns “secularity” into an absolute power.

There are two versions of secularism. The first is the Soviet version which corresponded to atheism. This version not only liberates politics from the authority of the religious establishment, but also prohibits religions themselves, restricts the freedom of religious people, and imposes a “material” culture on all aspects of society in order to eradicate religion. The Soviet version is based on a certain materialist philosophy that sees religion as an obstacle in the emancipation of society and considers religion as a manifestation of a childish humanity or a passing phase of human development. The Soviet version did not conceal its hostility to religions. It was part of a development project that sought liberation from “imperialism” but ended up in collapse. This experience showed that seventy years of general atheism could not eradicate religion from society, and that linking liberation or development to hostility to religions is narrow minded and ignores the firm status of religion in the human soul.

The second version of secularism was part of the ideology of tyrannical “progressive” powers, which quickly became degenerate powers lacking any developmental or liberal projects and seeking only to perpetuate. They designed all the mechanisms of societal management to be oriented toward perpetuating their authority. The “secularity” of the Assad regime belongs to this version. This version of secularism, unlike the first one, does not stand against religion or separate religion from state, but rather it morphs into a sort of adjoining worldly religion where the authorities, or the head of the authorities, replace god in the religious religion. The official institutions of religious religion collude with this “religion of the authorities” and become its servants from their position as representatives of the divine religion.

The degeneration of this version of secularism stems from the degeneration of the authorities that adopt it. The truth is that the only relevance these authorities have to secularity is limited to the fact that they are not religious authorities, i.e., they do not impose the application of religious laws (although they require that the head of the state be of a particular religion or sect), thus protecting certain aspects of individual freedom, such as not imposing head coverings for women or the prohibition of alcohol. Many people regard these “freedoms” as signs of progress. However, such “freedoms” accompanied by the domination of an authority imposed on the governed people, along with the spread of repression, corruption, and implicit and explicit forms of discrimination, produced a reaction against these freedoms, which have become part of the authoritarian system in the general public consciousness. In the few years before the outbreak of the revolution in Syria, a popular tendency of rejecting these freedoms emerged in a return to religion and religious dress, a return to commitment to religious rituals, and demands for the separation of the sexes. This return to the “divine” religion has had an explicit presence in the body of the Syrian revolution since its onset: a return to the divine religion as a form of rejecting the “worldly religion” or the “religion of the authority” which recruited the divine religion to its favor by taking control of its official institutions, which in turn adapted to this domination from the standpoint of common interest. Therefore, the return to the divine religion was a form of rejecting the political authority and its symbols. Attention is drawn to the emphasis on “symbols” in the fixed “cliché” objective, the “overthrow of the regime and all its foundations and symbols,” that was used and reiterated by Syrian opposition institutions for a long time. The word “symbols” includes the flag, national anthem, and patriotic songs used by the regime, as if, for the rebels, these symbols were rituals for the religion of the “secular” authority.

Strange Alignments

The Syrian revolution highlighted strange alignments among elite intellectuals, activists, and those interested in public affairs. The brutal repression resorted to by the “secular” regime led to its total rejection, including the rejection of its “secularity.” On the other hand, the religious character that increasingly dominated the demonstrations, and the armed transition that followed, led others to reject the “religious” revolution. The priority given to standing against the regime pushed some secularists to approach non-secular powers, and the priority given to fighting political Islam led long-standing opponents of the regime to approach it in the face of the rise of Islamic non-secular powers or “Islamic fascism,” as they call it. Thus, the portrait of the conflict became complex and strange. The strangest thing about it was that Islamic religious powers spearheaded what was supposed to be a democratic revolution, and that democratic secularists found themselves alongside powers that accuse democracy and secularity of blasphemy, whereas other democratic secularists found themselves alongside a brutal and tyrannical regime waging a war of extermination against its own people. Regardless of the political logic of both sides,  the biggest loser in this alignment are the democratic secularists themselves and their neglected cause.

How is secularity distinct from religious rule?

Secularity includes two essential parts. The first is the establishment of a united reference for all the people in the country, which is the reference of belonging to this country (the nation), and making this belonging a priority in worldly and political affairs, i.e., making it above all belongings from a constitutional and legal standpoint. The second is fortifying the political sphere against the dominance of religion and protecting it from “god’s representatives on earth,” who judge people on their spiritual beliefs and sort them accordingly, leaving no place in the country for atheists, for example. The result of these two parts is that the people of the country are equal before the law regardless of what spiritual or religious beliefs they adhere to, and that the administration of their country is up to them and to what they find appropriate for their development, without dependence on any reference other than the reference of reason and the will of the majority. This evidently unites the people of the country as citizens rather than separating them as followers of certain sects and religions, as happens under religious rule. This also allows the people in the country to think freely, so that they can find solutions to the problems they face, while benefitting from modern experiences without the need for a “passport” from the scriptures or from “jurisprudential” parties that cling to the constitution on the false pretext of respecting religion and identity.

Furthermore, secularity distinguishes between a public sphere (the political sphere) where people in the country are equal as citizens who have rights and responsibilities defined by the constitution and laws, and the private spheres where people are different according to their own beliefs and practice their religious authorities, spiritual activities, rituals, and traditions in full freedom. This means that secularity is against religion if it seeks to break into the public sphere, i.e., if it turns into an ideology of political authority. “Religion is religion within its own limits, and an ideology outside of them,” according to Azmi Bishara in his book Religion and Religiosity, a Prolegomena to Volume One of Religion and Secularism in Historical Context, in which he argues that secularization is a long historical process of distinction between religion and the modern world.

The problem with discussing secularity in the Muslim community is that Islamists do not accept the idea of distinction between religion and the modern world. Islamists insist that Islam is both religion and the modern world, and that in Islam, one cannot separate between worship and shari‘a, and that secularity assaulted Islam because it excludes shari‘a (Yusuf al-Qaradawi). This firm statement by Islamists leads to one conclusion that states, borrowing from Labid’s poetry:

Every thing, but (Islamic religious rule), is vain

Can the Islamic religious discourse be secularized?

A number of intellectuals tried to solve the previous problem by accepting the relevance of religion and the modern world in Islam, and working to expand religion to an extent that makes it capable of assimilating the modern world and its increasing demands, including secularity, into its development. These intellectuals attempted to “secularize” the Islamic religious discourse, once by relying on linguistics, as the Syrian Mohammed Shahrour did in his book The Book and Koran, A Modern Reading, and in another instance by relying on deriving the meaning of the religious discourse by putting it in the context of its formation or “occasion for revelation,” thus, taking the lesson and meaning without adherence to the literal text, like the Egyptian Nasr Hamid Abu Zayd did in his book The Concept of the Text: A Study of the Qur’anic Sciences. In yet another instance the Sudanese Mahmoud Mohammed Taha returned to the Mecca Islam and not that of Medina. These attempts at compromise find it hard to compete with mainstream Islamic dominance over the public because they seek to fight it in its own arena and with its own weapons.

These attempts involve a profound contradiction: joining holy matters that are not controlled by ration with rational matters. They acknowledge the sacredness and inimitability of the text one the one hand, and advocate for rationality on the other. This is a crippling endeavor, as it seeks to plant rationality in what is irrational, and wants religion to abandon its religious character.

This problem can only be solved by separating the political sphere (relative, common, variable, and worldly) from the religious sphere (absolute, fixed, private, and spiritual). The boundaries of separation between the two spheres remain the subject of research and deliberation because they relate to the history and composition of the concerned community. One can even say that each society has its own secularity.

Worldly secularity vs. heavenly secularity

What the missionary activity of Muhammed accomplished from a political standpoint, and what constituted the foundation of its success, is the establishment of a sole bond between the members of various Arab tribes that was able to unite everybody and present them to the whole world in that era. Everybody is equal under this bond–Islam–which was a common denominator for all that did not contradict with tribal bonds and affiliations. This was the case before Islam became various doctrines and sects, turning into a source of division and not a source of unity, as was the case in the beginning of the Islamic call.

Thus, the political act of the binding affiliation brought forth by Muhammed is exactly what we want from secularity, i.e., the neutralization of religious affiliations (tribal affiliation) versus the affiliation to the nation (to Islam), and the equality of all under the constitution and before the law regardless of their religious and sectarian backgrounds. Some say that Muhammed’s “followers” these days, who are advocates of religious rule, are in fact working in contrast to what Muhammed did. They are dividing the people of the same country according to their doctrines and religions and leading them to dispersion rather than unity. Adhering to a common denominator between people that protects them from various forms of discrimination, while respecting the common denominators of each individual group, is equivalent to the political act accomplished by the Prophet. The difference is that the Prophet linked the affiliation to the heavens while secularity links it to earth.

However, adherence to religious affiliations in our era and giving them superiority over other forms of affiliation is equivalent to adherence to tribal affiliation at the time of the Prophet and giving it superiority over the Islamic affiliation, which was a binding factor at the time.

The secularity of religious and sectarian minorities

The sectarian minorities in Syria do not have a “shari‘a” and do not produce political expressions that speak on behalf of the “nation.” They are not capable of this, either in terms of numbers or in terms of sectarian structure. These minorities do not have projects for religious rule. The only project for religious rule in Syria is the Islamic Sunni project. Therefore, members of the sectarian minorities consistently support secularity instead of religious rule, because the latter renders them subjects, wards, dhimmis, or second-class citizens in their own country.

Faced with the Islamists’ quest to establish “shari‘a law,” minorities will tend to accept any other option, even if it means clinging to a regime that tyrannizes them and even if this regime establishes a “worldly religion” that imposes a tangible and personalized god called “the authority.” They accept equality under a repressive “secular” sword rather than being under the inevitably discriminatory sword of Islamic religious rule that will classify them according to their birth. They feel that the “secular” sword is less brutal on them than on the majority, which they always fear might call for a shari‘a law. It is not, then, surprising that minorities tend to accept even foreign actors in the face of attempts by “shari‘a rule” to reach power. This is evident in their position on the Iranian and Russian intervention.

Therefore, when the project for religious rule is in offensive mode and engages in a direct conflict for power, minorities will turn into a conservative power against this project and secularism will become an ideological instrument used by the minorities in their position against Islamists. The minorities’ alignment with “secular” political tyranny against the Islamic attempt for change is not the result of a fundamental progressiveness of minorities, as one might think, but rather a defensive position that leads to, in the Syrian case, the strengthening of tyranny and the stifling of secularity itself. Thus, it is not a question of progressive or retrograde minorities, but of clear calculations of interest.

In the context of the Syrian revolution minorities in general–to different extents among different minorities (the Alawites most notably for various reasons that I believe have been dealt with and discussed and are now understood)–were afraid from the onset, started to investigate the Islamic nature of the revolution in the very first days, and aligned with the regime as the Islamic character of the revolution increasingly emerged. This alignment was definitive, in the sense that minorities, in fear of the advancement of the Islamic project, totally abandoned their critical position of the regime, or to be more precise, confined it to supporting the regime in the name of supporting the state or supporting the national army or supporting “secularity,” etc. This position was unchangeable despite everything; despite the regime’s persistent repression, killing, and destruction; despite dependence on foreign countries such as Iran and Russian; and despite mutual complicity between the regime and the official Islamic institutions allied with the regime. Minorities did not dare to seriously revise their position on the regime, even when regime apparatuses practiced oppression against their sons, and even when the regime gave the Ministry of Endowments unprecedented powers to control education and state institutions. Minorities, especially the Alawites, became dependent on the regime as much as the regime was dependent on them.

In reality, the secularity of minorities does not reflect their progressiveness, as they supported a “secular” tyranny and not a democratic secularity. At the same time, the secularity of the Islamists does not reflect a retrograde majority, as they rose up against a tyranny that manipulated secularity and trampled over its principles with implicit and explicit sectarian practices. In both cases, each party rushed to back what it believed would protect its existence and interests. In the sharp division created by the ongoing conflict in Syria, both sides demonstrated contempt for human dignity and the principles of human rights. Today, the Syrian public is not divided on a secular or non-secular basis, but on alignment with or against the regime or alignment with or against the Islamists. There is no space for discourse on secularity, and there is no influential party in Syria today that truly expresses democratic and secular principles.

If our above characterization is correct, then the task of intellectuals and those interested in Syria’s future is to save secularity from the distortion of the Syrian regime and the counter-mobilization by Islamists, because secular democracy, we believe, is the only possible prospect for a united and dignified Syria.

 

Syria in a Week (5 – 11 November 2019)

Syria in a Week (5 – 11 November 2019)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

 

“Committee” is Better

Reuters

8 November 2019

The opening round of the first Syrian peace talks in more than a year went “better than most people would have expected”, said the UN special envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen, although delegates described a chilly atmosphere with those from opposing sides not yet shaking hands. Representatives of the Syrian government and the opposition met in Geneva to discuss a future constitution, part of plans for a political settlement to end eight and a half years of war. Expectations for the talks have been low, with Damascus and its Iranian and Russian allies having made gains on the battlefield that left them few reasons to grant concessions.

The government delegation had been seeking to hold the next round of talks in Syria’s capital, which the opposition had strongly resisted. The talks are focused on drawing up a constitution with a view to eventually hold elections in Syria, a less sweeping agenda than at UN-sponsored talks earlier in the war. In Geneva last week, the one hundred and fifty delegates agreed the composition of a smaller forty-five-member drafting body tasked with writing a draft of the constitution that would be eventually presented to Syrian voters.

After ten days of talks, there was no immediate agreement on the release of thousands of detainees, an issue that Pedersen has underscored as key to building confidence. Nor was there consensus on whether delegates from the so-called small group in charge of drafting the constitution would adapt a 2012 constitution or start afresh with a new one.

Talks between the parties were often heated, delegates said, particularly on the issue of “terrorism”, a term used by the government side to refer to insurgents, with the government body seeking to incorporate this within the constitutional reform project. The opposition side resisted this.

Syria with Equal Opportunities!

Reuters

11 November 2019

Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad said the Syrian presidential elections in 2021 would be open to anybody who wants to run and that there would be numerous challengers for the presidency.

Al-Assad, who made the comment in an interview broadcast on Monday on the Russian television channel RT, faced two challengers at the 2014 election which he won by a landslide, but which his opponents dismissed as a charade. “Last time we were three and this time of course we are going to have as much as they want to nominate. There are going to be numerous nominees,” Al-Assad said.

President Al-Assad said that the Syrian government is socialist and has rejected privatization and so has the syndicates. “The majority rejected neo-liberal policies because we realized they would destroy the poor,” he said, adding “we still have the public sector and we are still supporting the poor and providing support for bread, fuel, and schools… we have not changed that policy, but we opened the doors further for the private sector. Therefore, you cannot call this a liberalization of economy.”

It should be mentioned that Syria has adopted liberal economic policies since the 1980’s, which accelerated in the 1990’s and 2000’s.

Bombardment of Idlib

Reuters

8 November 2019

UN rights spokesman Rupert Colville said on Friday that more than sixty medical facilities have been hit in Syria’s Idlib governorate in the past six months, including four this week, and appear to have been deliberately targeted by government-affiliated forces.

The Northeast Between Turkey and Russia

Reuters

8, 9 November 2019

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed Turkey’s military offensive in Syria in a phone call on Saturday, Turkey’s presidency said.

Turkey launched its cross-border offensive one month ago, saying it aimed to drive Kurdish-led forces from the border region and create a “safe zone” to settle Syrian refugees.

It halted its advance under a deal with the United States which called for the withdrawal from the border of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG). Erdogan later agreed on a separate deal with Moscow, which also called for the YPG to withdraw at least thirty kilometers from the border, but has since said that neither Washington nor Moscow has been able to deliver on the deals.

The Turkish statement on Saturday said Erdogan and Putin confirmed their commitment to the accord they struck at a meeting in the Black Sea resort of Sochi which also paved the way for joint Russian-Turkish military patrols inside Syria.

Explosion in Suluk

Reuters

10 November 2019

Turkey’s defense ministry and local emergency workers said eight people were killed when a bomb exploded on Sunday in an area of northeast Syria controlled by Turkish troops and their Syrian rebel allies. The ministry said the bombing, which it blamed on the Kurdish YPG, took place southeast of the Syrian town of Tal Abyad which Turkey captured in a military offensive that began one month ago.

Turkey halted its military advance when it struck deals with the United States and Russia calling for the YPG to be moved at least thirty kilometers away from Syria’s border with Turkey. The village of Suluk, where Sunday’s explosion took place, is around ten kilometers south of the border. A small truck exploded outside a bakery there, an emergency worker said.

Oil is for the SDF

Reuters

6, 7 November 2019

The Pentagon said on Thursday that revenue from oilfields in northeastern Syria will go to US-backed forces rather than the United States itself.

During a news conference announcing the death of Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in a US raid last month, Trump had raised the possibility of American oil companies taking over the oilfields in northeastern Syria, currently operated by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), Washington’s Syrian Kurdish allies.

His comments drew sharp rebukes from lawyers and experts, who said the move was likely a legally dubious one. On Wednesday, a senior State Department official said there was no direction from the White House to pursue such a way forward.