Syria in a Week (13 August 2018)

Syria in a Week (13 August 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

Victims in the North

11 August 2018

Al-Hayat

Fifty-three civilians, including twenty-six children, were killed in an air strike on Friday night that targeted areas controlled by opposition factions in northern Syria, according to a new toll from the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR). The SOHR said that “forty-one civilians, including twenty-five children, were killed in a night airstrike on the town of Orm al-Kobra in the western countryside of Aleppo,” while twelve others, including one child, were killed in air raids on the governorate of Idlib. “Air raids conducted by Russian airplanes and explosive drums launched by Syrian helicopters targeted areas in southern Idlib governorate,” the SOHR said. The current escalation is the most dangerous since the announcement of the de-escalation zone in Idlib last year. (al-Hayat)  For the fourth consecutive day, Russian air defense systems brought down drones targeting Hmeimeim airbase. This escalation coincides with the beginning of government military operations in northern Hama and southern Idlib.

Another sixty-nine people were killed, including fifty-two civilians, as a result of an unexplained explosion in a weapons depot early Sunday morning in the town of Sarmada in Idlib governorate, according to a new toll from the SOHR on Monday.

“The number of people killed as a result of the explosion rose to sixty-nine, including fifty-two civilians and seventeen militants from Tahrir al-Sham (previously Nusra),” said the SOHR.

The civilian death toll includes seventeen children, according to the SOHR, which said that the majority of those killed are family members of militants from Tahrir al-Sham who were displaced from Homs.

The rescue operation has been ongoing since dawn on Sunday, according to Abdul Rahman, who said that the death toll is likely to rise because of “dozens of wounded, some in serious condition.”

The depot was located in a residential building in the town of Sarmada in the northern countryside of Idlib. The reasons behind the explosion are “still unclear.”

 

Displacement from Idlib … to Where?

8 August 2018

Reuters

The anticipated battle in Idlib could lead to the displacement of seven hundred thousand Syrians, according to reports by UN-supervised aid agencies. Many previous battles ended in agreements that provided for the departure of opposition militants and their families to Idlib, which doubled the population of the governorate to two and a half million. This potential battle could exacerbate the humanitarian situation and increase relief needs in an exceptional manner. UN regional humanitarian coordinator Panos Moumtzis said in June that the governorate’s entire population of two and a half million could be displaced and move towards the Turkish border if there was a major battle. Such a battle would be more complicated and brutal than anything seen so far in the seven-year war, he said. (Reuters) The UN has repeatedly cautioned about the dangers of an attack on Idlib. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said in an interview with Russian media last month that Idlib governorate would be a priority for his forces.

 

The New Opposition Army

13 August 2018

Middle East Newspaper

The armed opposition in northern Syria has been working on establishing a “national army” with Turkish support, after the start of the countdown to the battle for Idlib. This means that there are two main armed groups in northern Syria: the National Army and the National Front for Liberation, in addition to Tahrir al-Sham. The main challenge is uniting the armed opposition without Tahrir al-Sham. The National Army receives financial and military support from Turkey, which also provides support for the National Front for Liberation, which in turn was formed by the merger of five groups, notably the Syrian Liberation Front, factions from the Free Syrian Army, and al-Ahrar Army faction.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan hinted at the possibility of conducting more military operations in northern Syria to establish safe zones that could accommodate Syrian refugees and prevent a new influx of displacement into his country. He added that his country has completed the necessary arrangements to establish more safe zones inside Syrian territory, as it did before during the Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch operations. (Middle East)

 

Hama’s Border Crossings are Closed

12 August 2018

Enab Baladi

The border crossings of al-Madhiq Citadel and Mork are two of the most important border crossings between areas controlled by the government and those controlled by the opposition. They represent symbols of the economies of war and exchange of interests among the warring parties from a military perspective. In the wake of repeated escalations in Idlib, the Syrian government and Russian police have closed the border crossings of al-Madhiq Citadel and Mork in Hama countryside, effectively cutting off commercial and civilian activities. The closure of the border crossings coincided with the arrival of government military reinforcements to the northern countryside of Hama on Friday. (Enab Baladi)

 

Ousting ISIS from Sweidaa’s Dessert

12 August 2018

SANA & Enab Baladi

Government forces declared their full control over Sweidaa’s administrational border in its eastern countryside as part of their campaign against ISIS. The official Syrian news agency SANA said that government forces made wide progress and were able to encircle ISIS on Sunday in Tolool al-Safa, which is located within the administrational border of Damascus Countryside governorate. On Saturday, government forces controlled the following areas: Rosoom al-Tathmooni, Khirbet al-Ambashi, Tilal al-Hibarieh, Rosoom Marroush, Souh al-Na’meh, Dharet Rashed, Zraibieh, Khirbet al-Shahrieh, Wadi al-Rmailan, Wadi Shajara, Zmlet Nasser, al-Nahyan, Tal Dhabe’, Tal al-Dhbai’ieh, and Qabr al-Sheikh Houssain. ISIS did not comment on the battles and its propaganda has been completely absent since the last attacks in Sweidaa, which left more than two hundred people dead. ISIS still holds women and children from Sweidaa as captives. (Enab Baladi)

 

Russian Pressure for the Return of Refugees

8 August 2018

Enab Baladi

Russia announced its plan for the return of Syrian refugees on 18 July, making it the first serious international initiative in this regard. It sent out applications for hosting countries to provide estimates of the number of refugees. It also opened up five border crossings and seventy-six centers to welcome returning refugees, which can accommodate three hundred and thirty-six thousand refugees. The main function of these centers is to monitor the return of refugees from foreign countries to Syria, provide necessary aid to them, and then send them to their areas of permanent residence or keep those who have no place to go in the shelter centers.

The Russia plan involves the return of 1.7 million Syrian refugees to Syrian in the “near future” which are distributed as the following according to data from the Russian Ministry of Defense: eight hundred and ninety thousand refugees from Lebanon, three hundred thousand refugees from Turkey, two hundred thousand refugees from European countries, one hundred and fifty thousand refugees from Jordan, one hundred thousand refugees from Iraq, and one hundred thousand refugees from Egypt. The Russian government presented its plan for the return of refugees to Syria during the Helsinki summit on 16 July, which joined President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin. Moscow then dispatched senior officials from the ministries of foreign affairs and defense on a shuttle tour to Jordan, Lebanon, Germany, and France. Then talked about solidarity with these countries to ensure the success of the plan and the return of the refugees.

There were many doubts regarding the number of refugees who accepted the Russian plan. Under the initial text of the plan, Russia could not dispel the fears of the refugees wanted by the Syrian security authorities or those who left the county for fear of the mandatory military service. (Enab Baladi)

There is concern among human rights organizations and refugees regarding how host countries, which are already under pressure because of the refugees, would respond to the Russian initiative, as pressure could be implicitly or explicitly exercised on refugees to return involuntarily.

 

Cost of Reconstruction

8 August 2018

ESCWA, AFP

The United Nations estimated the cost of the war in Syria at around four hundred billion US dollars in a meeting for the Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) on Wednesday, 8 August. This estimate does not include human losses that Syrians have suffered during the bloody war, such as death, injuries, and displacement. The financial and human losses reflect the high burden of the war and the great challenges facing reconstruction, which requires, in addition to financial and human resources, credible, competent, and inclusive institutions to overcome the consequences of the war and ensure stability thereafter.

 

Jordanian Commercial Delegation in Damascus in Preparation for the Resumption of Commercial Trade.

8 August 2018

Enab Baladi

Damascus received a Jordanian commercial delegation at the invitation of Syrian economic officials, in preparation for the resumption of commercial and economic relationships between the two sides. On Wednesday, 8 August, the Ministry of Internal Commerce and Consumer Protection said that a meeting was held at the ministry in Damascus to discuss ways to restore commercial relationships between Jordan and Syria. It also said that the Jordanian delegation expressed its desire to open up border crossings between the two countries, especially Nassib border crossing, in order to start the commercial exchange, including all agricultural and industrial sectors. The Syrian side viewed the meeting as a new chapter in the Syrian-Jordanian commercial cooperation. It said that this was a preparatory meeting to open Nassib border crossing between the two countries.

Nassib border crossing is of significant political and economic importance to the Syrian government and Jordan. Government forces took control over the border crossing on 6 July during a military campaign against opposition areas in Daraa governorate, south of Syria. (Enab Baladi)

 

Syria in a Week (5 March 2018)

Syria in a Week (5 March 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.


A “Humanitarian Corridor” with No Crossing

27 February 2018

Moscow declared the implementation of a humanitarian truce in the besieged eastern Ghouta on 27 February, however, no civilians were reported to have gotten out at the set crossing, located northeast of Damascus.

During this truce that began on Tuesday, a “humanitarian corridor” was to be opened at the Wafideen crossing, northeast of the city of Duma, to allow for the exit of civilians. No civilians were reported to have gotten out after five days. Reporters witnessed Russian officers and soldiers along with soldiers from the Syrian regular army at the crossing. Volunteers from the Syrian Red Crescent were also present with two ambulances. At the army post, portraits of Russian President Vladimir Putin along with one of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad were hung on one of the walls. The crossing appeared completely empty of any civilian movements at a time when no shells or bombardment were heard in the neighbouring, besieged Ghouta.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights confirmed that no civilians have left the Wafideen crossing since the start of the Russian truce on Tuesday, except for two Pakistani nationals who left on Wednesday under separate negotiations handled by the Pakistani embassy in Damascus.

Damascus and Moscow, on one hand, and the opposition, on the other, exchanged accusations concerning the bombardment of the “humanitarian corridor.”

 

A Comeback to Chemical Weapons

28 February 2018

Various media outlets, including The New York Times and The Middle East newspapers, have leaked documents that indicate North Korea is supplying the Syrian government with equipment that could be used to make chemical weapons. The documents show the ongoing cooperation even after UN Security Council Resolution 2118 on the disposal of the chemical weapons arsenal of the government.

The report, consisting of hundreds of pages, dedicated more than fifteen paragraphs to restricted transactions under international resolutions between Pyongyang and Damascus. “There are more than forty unreported shipments from North Korea to Syria between 2012 and 2017 that involve entities designated by a number of UN member states as interfaces of the Council of Scientific Research in Syria, in the town of Jamraya.”

The US State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert said that the North Korean government “has become more desperate and they are looking for different ways to fund their criminal regime.”

“For Russia to claim that the Assad regime has eliminated its chemical stockpiles is just absurd and simply incredible,” US Disarmament Ambassador Robert Wood told the Conference on Disarmament held in Geneva under UN sponsorship, while the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that the Syrian government has disposed of its chemical arsenal.

 

Putin Announces His “Tested” Weapons in Syria

1 March 2018

Russian President Vladimir Putin used his annual speech in front of the Russian Socialist Assembly to announce his weapons, rockets, and nuclear arsenal ahead of the presidential elections scheduled on the eighteenth of this month.

Putin said that Moscow has successfully tested eighty types of advanced rockets in Syria adding: “The whole world saw our capabilities and now knows the names of Russian rockets and technologies that have carried out important missions.”

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu unveiled that the newest fifth-generation Russian jetfighter Sukhoi 57 carried out “a successful combat trial program in Syria.” Adding, “they really were there for a short time. Just two days. Over this time, they conducted a trial program, including a direct combat trial. I can tell you that the trial was successful; the planes returned home a week ago.”

On the other hand, the official, Alexander Venediktove, an aide to Russia’s Security Council Secretary for International Security affairs lashed out at the United States, saying “the presence of twenty American military bases on territory controlled by the Kurdish People’s Protection Units in eastern Syria constitutes a clear example of obstacles created by foreign intervention.”

Two days later, Russian Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin said that the United States is using the al-Tanf area at the Syrian-Iraqi-Jordanian border as a “safe haven for terrorists.” Speaking to Russia-24 Fomin said, “We can only be concerned with the fifty-five kilometer safe zone near the town of al-Tanf near the Syrian-Iraqi border, which has effectively seen the establishment of a terrorist safe haven.”

 

US Pressure on Russia

2 March 2018

US President Donald Trump made two phone calls with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron, on the highest US engagement in the Syrian issue.

There were two goals from these calls: the first is to exert pressure on Russia to comply with resolution 2401 for a truce, the second is accountability for using chemical weapons.

According to a statement of the German Chancellery, the Syrian government must be held accountable for attacks on and bombardment of civilians in eastern Ghouta. Also adding that during the Thursday phone call, Merkel and Trump considered that “the Syrian government must be held accountable for the ongoing deteriorating humanitarian situation in eastern Ghouta. This goes for the use of chemical weapons by (President Bashar) al-Assad’s government, as well as attacks on civilians and freezing humanitarian aid.”

Paris criticized Washington when former President Barack Obama backed down from targeting the Syrian government after a chemical attack on Ghouta at the end of 2013.

Damascus denies using chemical weapons and accuses the opposition of “fabricating” attacks to pave the way for a potential strike from the West.

Trump’s calls coincided with the arrival of US aircraft carriers to the Mediterranean to participate in manoeuvres with Israel. They also coincided with a draft resolution put forward by the United States to the UN Security Council to form a committee to investigate chemical weapons in Syrian and accountability for its use.

 

“Dismemberment” in Ghouta

3 March 2018

Government forces have made an additional advance on 3 March in the east and southeast of Ghouta near Damascus in an attempt to separate areas controlled by different groups from each other.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that government forces controlled the towns of al-Shaifonieh and Otaya in the east and southeast of the besieged area, after they were subject to heavy air raids and artillery fire in the last few days. Government forces and their allies have intensified their attacks, enabling them to control the villages of Hosh al-Zawahra and Hosh al-Zreiqieh in addition to two previous military bases.

These areas were under the control of Jaish al-Islam, the biggest faction in eastern Ghouta.

The spokesman for Jaish al-Islam Hamzeh Beiraqdar said in a statement that government forces are implementing “a scorched earth policy,” confirming the withdrawal of fighters from their posts in Hosh al-Zawahra and Shaifonieh because they were “exposed to hysterical bombardment.”

Government forces are attempting to advance “in order to isolate the towns al-Marj (southeast) and Duma (north), which include the greatest number of civilians, from the rest of towns in the western part of the besieged eastern Ghouta.”

More than six hundred and thirty civilians, including one hundred and fifty children, have been killed since the onset of the government campaign on the besieged eastern Ghouta.

 

Turkish Air Strikes on Allies of Damascus

3 March 2018

Turkish jet fighters targeted pro-government forces in the village of Kafr Janneh in Afrin that have been supporting Kurdish fighters for two weeks in facing an attack launched by Turkey and other Syrian factions on the area located north of Syria.

The Kurds confirmed the targeting of these forces on Saturday.

This is the third such incident where Turkish planes targeted positions of fighters allied with Damascus in the last two days, after the death of eighteen soldiers on Wednesday and Thursday from Turkish air strikes on two villages northeast of Afrin, raising the total of deaths to at least fifty-four soldiers since Thursday night.

After Kurdish demands for Syrian government forces to intervene in order to face the ongoing Turkish attack on Afrin that has been going on for a month and a half, Syrian forces entered Afrin and were described by official state media as “popular forces,” whereas Kurds said that they were “military units” affiliated with the Syrian army.

These strikes come at a time where Turkish forces and Syrian factions loyal to them were able to control large parts of the strategic town Rajo, located northwest of Afrin. They also advanced on another front northeast of Afrin, as they controlled parts of a strategic mountain that overlooks several other towns and villages.

Since the start of their attack, Turkish forces were able to capture more than eighty villages and towns. Two hundred and fifty-two soldiers from Syrian factions loyal to Ankara were killed as opposed to two hundred and eighty-one Kurdish fighters during the battles and air strikes, in addition to the death of one hundred and forty-nine civilians. Turkey has reported the death of forty of its soldiers.